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    Market Commentary

    The party theme must certainly have been red this week on African markets as most of them adopted the look perfectly. African stocks experienced the longest losing trend since December, as markets held their breath on concerns the United States April payroll report could support the idea that the US economy is strong enough to justify higher interest rates.

    This week's inaction from two major central banks, namely the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, has caused the global equity indices ... and the US dollar to weaken. Indeed, slower US growth than expected encouraged the Fed not to raise interest rates and to lower its expectations for any more hikes this week. It’s all about global sentiment, generally the statement that the Fed would be more cautious moving forward was supportive for African currencies.

    Commodities, especially oil, silver, cocoa and soybeans recorded another strong week of gains sustaining a broad rally that has made the sector one of the top performers of this month. For instance, the U.S. oil benchmark showed weekly rise of more than 9% while Brent crude increased nearly 5.5%. This comes despite the failure last weekend of major oil exporters to agree to a deal to freeze production as accelerating US output declines and strong global demand for gasoline outweighed the disagreement. Of course, supply-demand fundamentals are specific to each commodity. However, persistent US dollar weakness and ongoing sentiment improvement prove to be supportive.

    News that Chinese economy grew at its slowest rate in seven years (6.7% at annual pace) put a damper on a few African indices Friday erasing the excitement triggered by upbeat Chinese data suggesting a rebound in activities perceived as an early sign of economic recovery. The biggest losses were witnessed on shares depending on China as a market for their commodities. Adding to the uncertainty climate, the Doha meeting took place over the weekend. World major oil producers met in Qatar Saturday to discuss an output freeze to boost prices. Hopes are big for the investors as a failure to reach a deal could lead to a collapse in oil prices, a sharp sell-off in the markets and maybe risk aversion returns on the market, which is not supportive for African markets sentiment.

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